資料:EPOCH AI / 中文整理:TREND CORE
全球 AI 算力成長
從每季售出或出貨的 AI 晶片,看新增供給所代表的算力;先分清新增量,再談成長速度。
每季新增 AI 晶片供給的 H100 等效算力
圖表可左右滑動,最新季度在右側;完整數字可展開下方資料表。
資料與原始分析:Epoch AI / Global AI computing capacity is doubling every 7 months · Josh You、Venkat Somala、Yafah Edelman、Luke Emberson · CC BY 4.0 · Trend Core 重繪
2025Q4,資料不完整:當季新增供給中位估計 1,547,338.8 H100e。本季未列 AMD,不代表零供給;總量僅計入有列出的估計。
圖中每一季代表該季售出或出貨的晶片所對應的算力,以總量呈現。柱子越高,表示這一季新增的紙面算力越多;這不是截至該季仍在使用的累積算力,也不是已經接電上線的算力。
這份圖使用原文附檔的歷史版本,涵蓋至 2025 年第四季。不同公司的資料起點不同,前期看到的供給結構也受資料缺漏影響。讀圖時應同時查看不完整季度標記,避免把估計缺口讀成需求突然減少。
Epoch AI 在 2026 年 1 月 9 日發表的原文中,估計自 2022 年起算力供給每年約為前一年的 3.3 倍,90% 信賴區間為 2.7 至 4.1 倍;相當於約每 7 個月翻倍,90% 信賴區間為 6 至 8 個月。這是原文的歷史估計,本頁沒有用其後更新的下載檔重新擬合,也沒有據此預測未來供給。
定義與閱讀限制
- H100 等效算力,H100e
- 以一顆 NVIDIA H100 的峰值密集 8 位元運算能力為基準,將各型晶片的規格與估計數量換成共同尺度。這是紙面算力換算,不能直接代表實際工作負載的執行速度。
- 不完整季度
- 來源以 Incomplete 標記部分估計,例如財報季度與日曆季度未完全重合。保留數值供閱讀,但不把它當成已涵蓋整季的最終結果。
- 當季新增與累積
- 當季新增只計入該季供給;累積則將多季供給加總,還需另處理退役與折舊等問題。本圖只呈現前者。
- 估計上下界
- 原始列在有資料時保留第 5 與第 95 百分位數;缺值維持缺值。各列不確定性可能相關,不能直接相加成整體的 90% 信賴區間。
- 這是銷售或出貨估計,不是晶片實際部署、可用算力、公司營收或現金收付。不同設計公司的證據與估計方法並不完全相同。
- NVIDIA 資料始於 2022 年第一季,Google 始於 2022 年第四季,AMD、Amazon、Huawei 始於 2024 年第一季;未涵蓋部分不補值,這份歷史檔也不能代表此後的完整市場。
- 規格換算未反映記憶體、軟體、網路連結與利用率,不能當成真實效能排名。
- 本頁沒有計算折舊、退役或出貨至上線的時差,也沒有把原文成長率套成預測曲線。
從資料走向公司與專案研究
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Constellation 與 Google 的 890 MW 全來自既有機組增容,上游已入帳的核能增量在 GE Vernova 核能業務與 BWXT 商用核能
博通把三年 AI 營收喊到 2,300 億美元,供給真的鎖住了嗎|Q3 FY26 六條驗證軸對帳|TPU 系列 12
客戶從一家變成六家,博通的收費位置移到了哪一層|Q3 FY26 法說的五個產業問題|TPU 系列 11
輝達把需求能見度推到 FY2028:2,790 億美元承諾如何轉成營收與毛利|算力超週期系列 19
Marvell 拿到的不是 TPU:一份 8-K 攤開 Google 客製矽的真實分層|TPU 系列 09
TPU 爆發期的產業鏈全圖:誰先拿到錢,順序是可以排出來的|TPU 系列 07
博通跌 6% 那天,市場定價的是執行長六月就講過的話|TPU 供應鏈改道的一手對帳|TPU 系列 06
Google 的 TPU 第一次上帳本:Q2 財報如何把「算力套利」的懸念記成損益表|超大型雲端 AGI 軍備系列 03
Google 的算力套利陷阱:花最多錢,卻把前沿讓給對手?
博通 AVGO:誰自研 AI 晶片都繞不開的賣鏟人
TPU 逆襲:推理成本說話,Google 咬下 NVIDIA 推理市佔
OCS 光路交換:市場只盯 CPO、漏看的全光交換層深度解析
NVDA 70 億美元鎖光通訊四家(NOK / COHR / LITE / MRVL)加 AAOI 純玩家:5 檔配置策略
完整數據與原始估計範圍
| 季度 | 當季新增 H100e 中位估計 | 完整程度 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022Q1 | 46,554 | 不完整:NVIDIA;未列:AMD、Amazon、Google、華為,不視為零 |
| 2022Q2 | 71,362 | 來源未標示不完整;未列:AMD、Amazon、Google、華為,不視為零 |
| 2022Q3 | 73,961 | 來源未標示不完整;未列:AMD、Amazon、Google、華為,不視為零 |
| 2022Q4 | 90,886 | 不完整:Google;未列:AMD、Amazon、華為,不視為零 |
| 2023Q1 | 116,658 | 來源未標示不完整;未列:AMD、Amazon、華為,不視為零 |
| 2023Q2 | 244,637 | 來源未標示不完整;未列:AMD、Amazon、華為,不視為零 |
| 2023Q3 | 393,666 | 來源未標示不完整;未列:AMD、Amazon、華為,不視為零 |
| 2023Q4 | 533,581 | 來源未標示不完整;未列:AMD、Amazon、華為,不視為零 |
| 2024Q1 | 924,735.8 | 來源未標示不完整 |
| 2024Q2 | 1,119,391.8 | 來源未標示不完整 |
| 2024Q3 | 1,361,180.8 | 來源未標示不完整 |
| 2024Q4 | 1,903,425.8 | 來源未標示不完整 |
| 2025Q1 | 2,717,511.8 | 來源未標示不完整 |
| 2025Q2 | 3,047,098.8 | 來源未標示不完整 |
| 2025Q3 | 3,891,725.8 | 來源未標示不完整 |
| 2025Q4 | 1,547,338.8 | 不完整:Google、NVIDIA;未列:AMD,不視為零 |
| 來源列 | 設計商 | 開始 | 結束 | H100e 中位估計 | 來源下界 | 來源上界 | 完整程度/原註記 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2022 - A100 | NVIDIA | 2022-01-01 | 2022-03-31 | 46554 | 35763 | 60376 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Nvidia fiscal quarters beginning 1/31/2022. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2022 - A100 | NVIDIA | 2022-04-01 | 2022-06-30 | 71362 | 54668 | 92582 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2022 - A100 | NVIDIA | 2022-07-01 | 2022-09-30 | 67855 | 52186 | 88113 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2022 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2022-07-01 | 2022-09-30 | 6106 | 5148 | 7204 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2022 - TPU v4i | 2022-10-01 | 2022-12-31 | 1440 | 875 | 2178 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Broadcom fiscal quarters beginning 10/31/2022. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2022 - TPU v4 | 2022-10-01 | 2022-12-31 | 9234 | 6823 | 12098 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Broadcom fiscal quarters beginning 10/31/2022. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2022 - TPU v5e | 2022-10-01 | 2022-12-31 | 3138 | 1944 | 4693 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Broadcom fiscal quarters beginning 10/31/2022. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2022 - A100 | NVIDIA | 2022-10-01 | 2022-12-31 | 35717 | 27491 | 46442 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2022 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2022-10-01 | 2022-12-31 | 32492 | 27372 | 38332 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2022 - A800 | NVIDIA | 2022-10-01 | 2022-12-31 | 8865 | 6775 | 11520 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q1 2023 - TPU v4i | 2023-01-01 | 2023-03-31 | 673 | 409 | 1019 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q1 2023 - TPU v4 | 2023-01-01 | 2023-03-31 | 16535 | 11809 | 22283 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q1 2023 - TPU v5e | 2023-01-01 | 2023-03-31 | 7764 | 3731 | 12453 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q1 2023 - A100 | NVIDIA | 2023-01-01 | 2023-03-31 | 18531 | 14298 | 24114 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q1 2023 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2023-01-01 | 2023-03-31 | 56536 | 47792 | 66904 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q1 2023 - A800 | NVIDIA | 2023-01-01 | 2023-03-31 | 9222 | 7075 | 11999 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q1 2023 - H800 | NVIDIA | 2023-01-01 | 2023-03-31 | 7397 | 5980 | 9252 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2023 - TPU v4 | 2023-04-01 | 2023-06-30 | 9160 | 5159 | 13583 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q2 2023 - TPU v5e | 2023-04-01 | 2023-06-30 | 23792 | 15986 | 33787 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q2 2023 - A100 | NVIDIA | 2023-04-01 | 2023-06-30 | 20270 | 15628 | 26426 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2023 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2023-04-01 | 2023-06-30 | 150868 | 127870 | 179142 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2023 - A800 | NVIDIA | 2023-04-01 | 2023-06-30 | 8272 | 6349 | 10823 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2023 - H800 | NVIDIA | 2023-04-01 | 2023-06-30 | 32275 | 26007 | 39805 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2023 - TPU v4 | 2023-07-01 | 2023-09-30 | 1550 | 453 | 2659 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q3 2023 - TPU v5e | 2023-07-01 | 2023-09-30 | 49438 | 35464 | 66470 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q3 2023 - A100 | NVIDIA | 2023-07-01 | 2023-09-30 | 17311 | 13277 | 22592 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2023 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2023-07-01 | 2023-09-30 | 259631 | 219080 | 307406 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2023 - A800 | NVIDIA | 2023-07-01 | 2023-09-30 | 8956 | 6900 | 11689 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2023 - H800 | NVIDIA | 2023-07-01 | 2023-09-30 | 56780 | 45740 | 70293 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2023 - TPU v5e | 2023-10-01 | 2023-12-31 | 77033 | 57339 | 100662 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2023 - TPU v5p | 2023-10-01 | 2023-12-31 | 6775 | 3468 | 10350 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2023 - A100 | NVIDIA | 2023-10-01 | 2023-12-31 | 4770 | 3649 | 6226 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2023 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2023-10-01 | 2023-12-31 | 422172 | 355867 | 500558 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2023 - A800 | NVIDIA | 2023-10-01 | 2023-12-31 | 2860 | 2209 | 3725 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2023 - H800 | NVIDIA | 2023-10-01 | 2023-12-31 | 19971 | 16088 | 24769 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q1 2024 - TPU v5e | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 82702 | 60965 | 108923 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q1 2024 - TPU v5p | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 38550 | 27497 | 51184 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q1 2024 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 550503 | 466753 | 647115 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q1 2024 - H20 | NVIDIA | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 20807 | 16021 | 27186 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| FY24 Q1 - MI250X | AMD | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 5877 | 3964 | 8213 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY24 Q1 - MI300X | AMD | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 45514 | 32825 | 62480 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY24 Q1 - MI300A | AMD | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 3505 | 1088 | 6311 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| Q1 2024 Ascend 910B | 華為 | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 35378.75 | 27362.75 | 45990.5 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q1 2024 Ascend 910C | 華為 | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 9649 | 4876.75 | 18995.25 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q1 2024 Trainium1/Inferentia | Amazon | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 48000 | 未知 | 未知 | More speculative |
| Q1 2024 Trainium2 | Amazon | 2024-01-01 | 2024-03-31 | 84250 | 未知 | 未知 | Relatively confident that total Trainium2 shipments were >2M in 2024-2025 |
| Q2 2024 - TPU v5e | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 74406 | 50712 | 104826 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q2 2024 - TPU v5p | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 67116 | 45578 | 91685 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q2 2024 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 648803 | 552079 | 761640 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2024 - H20 | NVIDIA | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 33472 | 25853 | 43450 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| FY24 Q2 - MI250X | AMD | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 1286 | 263 | 2380 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY24 Q2 - MI300X | AMD | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 106636 | 83501 | 135829 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY24 Q2 - MI300A | AMD | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 10395 | 3860 | 17545 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| Q2 2024 Ascend 910B | 華為 | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 35378.75 | 27362.75 | 45990.5 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q2 2024 Ascend 910C | 華為 | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 9649 | 4876.75 | 18995.25 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q2 2024 Trainium1/Inferentia | Amazon | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 48000 | 未知 | 未知 | More speculative |
| Q2 2024 Trainium2 | Amazon | 2024-04-01 | 2024-06-30 | 84250 | 未知 | 未知 | Relatively confident that total Trainium2 shipments were >2M in 2024-2025 |
| Q3 2024 - TPU v5e | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 71152 | 42900 | 106251 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q3 2024 - TPU v5p | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 74341 | 46247 | 107270 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q3 2024 - TPU v6e | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 37219 | 15172 | 66946 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q3 2024 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 791332 | 675899 | 930021 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2024 - H20 | NVIDIA | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 41050 | 31747 | 52997 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| FY24 Q3 - MI250X | AMD | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 861 | 307 | 1488 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY24 Q3 - MI300X | AMD | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 124829 | 99749 | 156671 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY24 Q3 - MI300A | AMD | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 43119 | 32556 | 55194 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| Q3 2024 Ascend 910B | 華為 | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 35378.75 | 27362.75 | 45990.5 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q3 2024 Ascend 910C | 華為 | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 9649 | 4876.75 | 18995.25 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q3 2024 Trainium1/Inferentia | Amazon | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 48000 | 未知 | 未知 | More speculative |
| Q3 2024 Trainium2 | Amazon | 2024-07-01 | 2024-09-30 | 84250 | 未知 | 未知 | Relatively confident that total Trainium2 shipments were >2M in 2024-2025 |
| Q4 2024 - TPU v5e | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 59815 | 36637 | 87974 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2024 - TPU v5p | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 62287 | 39814 | 89015 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2024 - TPU v6e | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 160903 | 109262 | 224144 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2024 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 681252 | 580308 | 796953 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2024 - H20 | NVIDIA | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 48668 | 37553 | 63471 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2024 - B200 | NVIDIA | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 508333 | 434276 | 593355 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| FY24 Q4 - MI250X | AMD | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 692 | 345 | 1101 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY24 Q4 - MI300X | AMD | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 152359 | 122474 | 188915 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY24 Q4 - MI300A | AMD | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 51839 | 39681 | 64966 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| Q4 2024 Ascend 910B | 華為 | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 35378.75 | 27362.75 | 45990.5 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q4 2024 Ascend 910C | 華為 | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 9649 | 4876.75 | 18995.25 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q4 2024 Trainium1/Inferentia | Amazon | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 48000 | 未知 | 未知 | More speculative |
| Q4 2024 Trainium2 | Amazon | 2024-10-01 | 2024-12-31 | 84250 | 未知 | 未知 | Relatively confident that total Trainium2 shipments were >2M in 2024-2025 |
| Q1 2025 - TPU v5e | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 19024 | 12208 | 27400 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q1 2025 - TPU v5p | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 44589 | 20017 | 69213 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q1 2025 - TPU v6e | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 376006 | 280162 | 488240 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q1 2025 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 328883 | 274294 | 392144 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q1 2025 - H20 | NVIDIA | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 54199 | 44602 | 65766 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q1 2025 - B200 | NVIDIA | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 1316170 | 1121922 | 1537659 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| FY25 Q1 - MI300X | AMD | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 112567 | 82928 | 151012 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY25 Q1 - MI300A | AMD | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 4523 | 2156 | 7400 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY25 Q1 - MI325X | AMD | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 43137 | 26264 | 69226 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| Q1 2025 Ascend 910B | 華為 | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 16816.5 | 11946.5 | 23883.25 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q1 2025 Ascend 910C | 華為 | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 115147.25 | 97198.5 | 136010.75 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q1 2025 Trainium2 | Amazon | 2025-01-01 | 2025-03-31 | 286450 | 未知 | 未知 | Relatively confident that total Trainium2 shipments were >2M in 2024-2025 |
| Q2 2025 - TPU v5p | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 14766 | 4045 | 24782 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q2 2025 - TPU v6e | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 611825 | 475367 | 756958 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q2 2025 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 227846 | 186151 | 278409 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2025 - H20 | NVIDIA | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 22895 | 19286 | 27021 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2025 - B200 | NVIDIA | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 1101612 | 943451 | 1285734 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q2 2025 - B300 | NVIDIA | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 544384 | 461324 | 641408 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| FY25 Q2 - MI300X | AMD | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 60450 | 41152 | 86485 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY25 Q2 - MI325X | AMD | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 35374 | 21121 | 57668 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY25 Q2 - MI350X | AMD | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 9533 | 4114 | 16212 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| Q2 2025 Ascend 910B | 華為 | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 16816.5 | 11946.5 | 23883.25 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q2 2025 Ascend 910C | 華為 | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 115147.25 | 97198.5 | 136010.75 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q2 2025 Trainium2 | Amazon | 2025-04-01 | 2025-06-30 | 286450 | 未知 | 未知 | Relatively confident that total Trainium2 shipments were >2M in 2024-2025 |
| Q3 2025 - TPU v6e | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 676779 | 522439 | 854596 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q3 2025 - TPU v7 | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 119499 | 55837 | 182716 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q3 2025 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 126826 | 103574 | 155230 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2025 - H20 | NVIDIA | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 2567 | 2168 | 3040 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2025 - B200 | NVIDIA | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 876763 | 751715 | 1021033 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q3 2025 - B300 | NVIDIA | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 1367022 | 1164129 | 1611710 | Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| FY25 Q3 - MI300X | AMD | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 60539 | 37108 | 88954 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY25 Q3 - MI325X | AMD | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 26102 | 10619 | 47235 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY25 Q3 - MI350X | AMD | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 84612 | 63241 | 110536 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| FY25 Q3 - MI355X | AMD | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 31503 | 20230 | 44483 | Date estimates were generated: 01-21-2026 16:32 |
| Q3 2025 Ascend 910B | 華為 | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 16816.5 | 11946.5 | 23883.25 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q3 2025 Ascend 910C | 華為 | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 115147.25 | 97198.5 | 136010.75 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q3 2025 Trainium2 | Amazon | 2025-07-01 | 2025-09-30 | 387550 | 未知 | 未知 | Relatively confident that total Trainium2 shipments were >2M in 2024-2025 |
| Q4 2025 - TPU v6e | 2025-10-01 | 2025-12-31 | 237563 | 181091 | 306958 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Broadcom fiscal quarters ending 11/2/2025. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2025 - TPU v7 | 2025-10-01 | 2025-12-31 | 67991 | 31769 | 103959 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Broadcom fiscal quarters ending 11/2/2025. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:41 | |
| Q4 2025 - H100/H200 | NVIDIA | 2025-10-01 | 2025-12-31 | 23295 | 19005 | 28561 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Nvidia fiscal quarters ending 10/26/2025. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2025 - B200 | NVIDIA | 2025-10-01 | 2025-12-31 | 244032 | 208983 | 284017 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Nvidia fiscal quarters ending 10/26/2025. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2025 - B300 | NVIDIA | 2025-10-01 | 2025-12-31 | 454944 | 387803 | 536446 | 不完整。Estimate is incomplete because it is based on Nvidia fiscal quarters ending 10/26/2025. Estimates generated on: 01-28-2026 12:48 |
| Q4 2025 Ascend 910B | 華為 | 2025-10-01 | 2025-12-31 | 16816.5 | 11946.5 | 23883.25 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q4 2025 Ascend 910C | 華為 | 2025-10-01 | 2025-12-31 | 115147.25 | 97198.5 | 136010.75 | Confidence intervals in units are relatively unprincipled due to lack of revenue model. Don't take them too literally. H100e conversion incorporates some uncertainty over average chip specifications. See methodology |
| Q4 2025 Trainium2 | Amazon | 2025-10-01 | 2025-12-31 | 387550 | 未知 | 未知 | Relatively confident that total Trainium2 shipments were >2M in 2024-2025 |
來源、方法與版本紀錄
Nvidia 自2022Q1、Google 自2022Q4,AMD、Amazon、Huawei 自2024Q1;不補缺漏。
文章附檔歷史版本,後於原文發表日;3.3倍成長率只作原文歷史估計,不對此下載檔重新擬合。
中文翻譯、編排與圖表重繪:Trend Core。依 CC BY 4.0 使用,未經 Epoch AI 審閱或背書。
原始檔涵蓋 2022-01-01 至 2025-12-31;圖表呈現期間列於圖下。
- 原始研究發表日期
- 2026-01-09
- 來源資料更新日期
- 2026-02-16
- 資料取得時間
- 2026-10-19T02:09:59.744963+00:00
- 接受版本時間
- 2026-10-19T02:21:14.905539+00:00
- 中文內容更新
- 2026-10-19
- 來源 SHA-256
- 315644760db099bb98df72891aedc88717782187dcb337dbcb156f43e0adf55f
資料與原始分析:Epoch AI / Global AI computing capacity is doubling every 7 months · Josh You、Venkat Somala、Yafah Edelman、Luke Emberson · CC BY 4.0 · Trend Core 重繪